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Red40
265536.0
349223.3
350434.7
Blue106
265620.5
162931.9
45635.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988905015020040106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2655
Unranked
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
red by 0.6
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
Second
3504
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
red by 2.8
1629
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
Third
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
red by 2.7
2656
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
24%Capture odds4%Capture odds