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Red109
45635.4
265536.0
261441.9
Blue75
326034.9
446728.4
265620.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1238005010015020010975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
red by 7.0
3260
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Second
2655
Unranked
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
red by 7.7
4467
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3
Third
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
red by 14.9
2656
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds84%Breach odds
Capture
28%Capture odds1%Capture odds