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Red105
162931.9
426531.6
495432.6
Blue79
107121.7
4840.6
541821.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028405015020010579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
blue by 8.0
48
Unranked
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
Second
1629
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
red by 10.0
5418
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8
Third
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
red by 10.0
1071
Unranked
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds66%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds3%Capture odds