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Red76
999915.6
349223.3
162931.9
Blue95
351119.4
350434.7
426531.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70910501001507695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
blue by 2.8
3504
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Second
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
blue by 8.4
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
9999
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 3.8
3511
Unranked
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds4%Capture odds