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Red123
319321.4
261441.9
446728.4
Blue103
349223.3
426531.6
112630.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9687204060120140160180123103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
red by 10.3
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Second
4467
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3
blue by 2.2
1126
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Third
3193
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End2.5
blue by 1.9
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds9%Capture odds