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Red108
426531.6
88830.6
68639.1
Blue94
45635.4
349223.3
495432.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106925015010894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
Unranked
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto10.6
Teleop22.7
End5.7
red by 3.6
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
Second
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
blue by 1.0
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Third
888
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
red by 7.4
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
27%Capture odds3%Capture odds