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Red66
326034.9
261441.9
107121.7
Blue73
350434.7
68639.1
495432.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001110501502002503006673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
red by 2.9
686
Unranked
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto10.6
Teleop22.7
End5.7
Second
3260
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End6.4
red by 0.2
3504
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Third
1071
Unranked
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
blue by 11.0
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds21%Capture odds