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Red92
446728.4
45635.4
450531.8
Blue78
107121.7
495432.6
170825.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102790501502009278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
red by 2.8
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Second
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
red by 6.2
1708
Unranked
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End5.1
Third
4467
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3
red by 6.7
1071
Unranked
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds76%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds1%Capture odds