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Red58
999915.6
541821.9
68639.1
Blue112
446728.4
45635.4
349223.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7792020030040050058112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
Unranked
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto10.6
Teleop22.7
End5.7
red by 3.6
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
Second
5418
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8
blue by 6.4
4467
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3
Third
9999
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 7.6
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach odds90%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds1%Capture odds