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Red118
319321.4
45635.4
384434.7
Blue95
162931.9
265536.0
541821.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959205015020011895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
blue by 0.6
2655
Unranked
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
Second
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
red by 2.8
1629
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
Third
3193
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End2.5
blue by 0.6
5418
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds20%Capture odds