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Red114
162931.9
446728.4
426531.6
Blue120
450531.8
132531.6
349223.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9688050150200114120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
red by 0.1
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
Second
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Level
1325
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
Third
4467
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3
red by 5.1
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds7%Capture odds