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Red99
170825.7
112630.6
4840.6
Blue97
88830.6
162931.9
351119.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103810501502009997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
Unranked
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
red by 8.7
1629
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
Second
1126
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Level
888
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End5.0
Third
1708
Unranked
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End5.1
red by 6.3
3511
Unranked
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
12%Capture odds7%Capture odds