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Red94
261441.9
45635.4
349223.3
Blue141
132531.6
446728.4
68639.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12312210011013014015094141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
red by 2.9
686
Unranked
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto10.6
Teleop22.7
End5.7
Second
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
red by 3.8
1325
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
Third
3492
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End4.3
blue by 5.1
4467
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3