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Red113
319321.4
162931.9
107121.7
Blue110
426531.6
384434.7
541821.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90110050150200250300350113110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.4
End3.3
blue by 2.8
3844
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End6.3
Second
1071
Unranked
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
blue by 10.0
4265
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
3193
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End2.5
blue by 0.6
5418
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.8