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Red375
148265.0
2122130.9
4334108.2
Blue215
244108.3
501597.1
419146.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328260100200300400500600375215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
130.91.0
129.9130.9
Auto29.1
Teleop53.4
End48.4
red by 22.6
244
#4
108.30.9
109.1108.3
Auto13.1
Teleop46.0
End49.2
Second
4334
#13
108.21.0
107.2108.2
Auto16.6
Teleop48.0
End43.6
red by 11.1
97.11.2
98.397.1
Auto16.1
Teleop46.1
End35.0
Third
1482
#27
65.01.3
63.765.0
Auto6.1
Teleop37.3
End21.7
red by 18.6
4191
#20
46.41.2
47.646.4
Auto4.0
Teleop23.8
End18.6