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Quarterfinal 1-12017 Western Canada Regional
Red321
148265.0
2122130.9
4334108.2
Blue245
335464.4
393364.8
401068.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3281850100400500600700321245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#1
130.90.3
127.0→126.6
Auto29.1
Teleop53.4
End48.4
red by 62.3
4010
#26
68.51.1
67.5→68.6
Auto9.6
Teleop33.7
End25.3
Second
4334
#13
108.20.3
104.3→104.0
Auto16.6
Teleop48.0
End43.6
red by 43.4
3933
#12
64.81.1
63.7→64.8
Auto7.2
Teleop39.1
End18.5
Third
1482
#27
65.00.4
59.8→59.4
Auto6.1
Teleop37.3
End21.7
red by 0.6
3354
#15
64.41.1
63.3→64.5
Auto7.9
Teleop35.0
End21.5