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Quarterfinal 1-22017 Western Canada Regional
Red318
148265.0
2122130.9
4334108.2
Blue200
335464.4
393364.8
401068.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3261900100400500600700318200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#1
130.90.2
126.6→126.8
Auto29.1
Teleop53.4
End48.4
red by 62.3
4010
#26
68.50.1
68.6→68.5
Auto9.6
Teleop33.7
End25.3
Second
4334
#13
108.20.2
104.0→104.1
Auto16.6
Teleop48.0
End43.6
red by 43.4
3933
#12
64.80.1
64.8→64.8
Auto7.2
Teleop39.1
End18.5
Third
1482
#27
65.00.2
59.4→59.6
Auto6.1
Teleop37.3
End21.7
red by 0.6
3354
#15
64.40.1
64.5→64.4
Auto7.9
Teleop35.0
End21.5