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Red255
460469.6
477474.8
28885.9
Blue305
640675.1
589788.3
507873.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2402300100200300400500600255305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#7
85.90.6
84.685.3
Auto11.0
Teleop37.9
End37.0
blue by 2.4
88.31.9
83.685.5
Auto12.6
Teleop42.8
End32.9
Second
74.80.6
73.574.2
Auto11.3
Teleop34.5
End29.0
blue by 0.3
6406
#16
75.12.5
68.871.4
Auto7.0
Teleop35.0
End33.0
Third
4604
#22
69.60.9
67.968.8
Auto8.9
Teleop23.7
End37.0
blue by 3.7
5078
#29
73.32.5
67.169.6
Auto8.3
Teleop33.2
End31.8