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Red281
563065.4
462787.4
213092.4
Blue218
600864.6
645872.1
639070.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2682140100300400500600281218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2130
#10
92.40.3
93.093.3
Auto11.6
Teleop52.8
End28.1
red by 20.3
6458
#11
72.10.2
73.173.4
Auto7.1
Teleop32.3
End32.7
Second
87.40.2
87.888.0
Auto10.8
Teleop48.1
End28.4
red by 17.0
6390
#17
70.30.2
71.471.6
Auto8.1
Teleop37.2
End25.0
Third
5630
#38
65.40.2
65.866.0
Auto8.9
Teleop25.6
End30.9
red by 0.7
6008
#14
64.60.2
65.665.9
Auto9.7
Teleop24.2
End30.7