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Red281
511847.2
589788.3
645872.1
Blue105
462532.9
617827.4
335464.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145125050100200250281105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.36.4
59.766.1
Auto12.6
Teleop42.8
End32.9
red by 23.9
3354
#15
64.41.2
43.342.0
Auto7.9
Teleop35.0
End21.5
Second
6458
#11
72.110.7
31.141.7
Auto7.1
Teleop32.3
End32.7
red by 39.2
4625
#42
32.91.9
35.733.8
Auto4.1
Teleop18.2
End10.5
Third
5118
#30
47.26.4
44.350.7
Auto1.9
Teleop28.6
End16.6
red by 19.8
6178
#46
27.41.9
42.840.9
Auto0.6
Teleop26.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed