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Red255
636442.5
563065.4
244108.3
Blue205
551585.8
507873.3
640361.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2171700100300400255205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#4
108.33.7
104.7108.4
Auto13.1
Teleop46.0
End49.2
red by 22.5
5515
#35
85.82.5
68.971.4
Auto13.6
Teleop41.1
End31.0
Second
5630
#38
65.43.7
65.669.3
Auto8.9
Teleop25.6
End30.9
blue by 8.0
5078
#29
73.34.1
50.454.5
Auto8.3
Teleop33.2
End31.8
Third
6364
#39
42.56.1
29.335.5
Auto9.7
Teleop26.2
End6.6
blue by 19.2
6403
#28
61.74.1
48.452.6
Auto9.7
Teleop34.0
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed