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Red185
588348.5
401068.5
672443.2
Blue195
667336.2
477474.8
667989.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129151050100200250300350185195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#26
68.52.8
39.141.9
Auto9.6
Teleop33.7
End25.3
blue by 21.0
89.644.2
89.645.4
Auto6.9
Teleop37.9
End44.7
Second
5883
#33
48.53.9
46.350.2
Auto5.8
Teleop27.5
End15.1
blue by 26.3
74.83.3
60.764.0
Auto11.3
Teleop34.5
End29.0
Third
6724
#40
43.20.5
43.243.7
Auto7.9
Teleop27.9
End7.4
red by 7.0
6673
#32
36.29.2
36.245.4
Auto4.5
Teleop30.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed