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Red210
477474.8
640361.7
588348.5
Blue180
393364.8
639070.3
617827.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163167130140150180190200210210180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.83.6
58.161.7
Auto11.3
Teleop34.5
End29.0
red by 4.4
6390
#17
70.32.4
60.663.0
Auto8.1
Teleop37.2
End25.0
Second
6403
#28
61.76.0
46.452.4
Auto9.7
Teleop34.0
End17.9
blue by 3.1
3933
#12
64.81.4
62.263.7
Auto7.2
Teleop39.1
End18.5
Third
5883
#33
48.56.0
51.157.2
Auto5.8
Teleop27.5
End15.1
red by 21.1
6178
#46
27.42.4
35.638.0
Auto0.6
Teleop26.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed