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Red255
563065.4
462787.4
213092.4
Blue255
244108.3
501597.1
419146.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261269100200300400500255255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2130
#10
92.4
Auto11.6
Teleop52.8
End28.1
blue by 15.8
244
#4
108.3
Auto13.1
Teleop46.0
End49.2
Second
87.4
Auto10.8
Teleop48.1
End28.4
blue by 9.7
97.1
Auto16.1
Teleop46.1
End35.0
Third
5630
#38
65.4
Auto8.9
Teleop25.6
End30.9
red by 18.9
4191
#20
46.4
Auto4.0
Teleop23.8
End18.6