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Red242
278389.6
131993.9
7992.7
Blue316
179101.6
180123.5
395982.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289329150200250350400450500242316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.90.8
94.893.9
Auto8.1
Teleop34.9
End50.9
blue by 29.6
180
#2
123.50.2
123.3123.5
Auto16.3
Teleop58.7
End48.5
Second
79
#15
92.70.8
93.592.7
Auto7.9
Teleop47.9
End37.0
blue by 8.9
179
#14
101.60.2
101.4101.6
Auto11.6
Teleop49.1
End40.9
Third
2783
#12
89.60.8
90.489.6
Auto10.3
Teleop43.3
End35.9
red by 7.0
3959
#11
82.60.2
82.482.6
Auto8.2
Teleop27.8
End46.6