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Red255
110865.7
4451109.1
584286.6
Blue305
605574.7
201679.3
3486.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283233100200400500255305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.10.2
109.3109.1
Auto10.4
Teleop51.2
End47.4
red by 22.8
34
#29
86.31.7
82.183.9
Auto11.9
Teleop39.0
End35.4
Second
5842
#16
86.60.2
86.886.6
Auto14.3
Teleop39.3
End33.0
red by 7.4
2016
#10
79.31.7
75.176.8
Auto5.2
Teleop37.5
End36.5
Third
1108
#21
65.70.2
65.965.7
Auto12.0
Teleop27.4
End26.3
blue by 9.0
6055
#33
74.71.7
70.672.3
Auto11.9
Teleop28.7
End34.1