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Red284
395982.6
180123.5
179101.6
Blue305
136979.9
201092.6
34388.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335261100200300400500284305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#2
123.51.1
123.4122.4
Auto16.3
Teleop58.7
End48.5
red by 30.9
92.61.3
91.592.7
Auto10.4
Teleop35.7
End46.5
Second
179
#14
101.61.1
101.6100.5
Auto11.6
Teleop49.1
End40.9
red by 13.3
343
#19
88.31.0
87.488.5
Auto10.1
Teleop41.4
End36.9
Third
3959
#11
82.61.1
82.581.4
Auto8.2
Teleop27.8
End46.6
red by 2.7
1369
#42
79.91.0
79.080.0
Auto9.4
Teleop35.5
End35.0