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Red305
425663.5
381492.2
496580.9
Blue255
255673.2
639664.7
281576.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228220100300400500305255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.22.0
84.986.9
Auto11.1
Teleop40.2
End40.9
red by 15.6
2815
#24
76.71.0
75.276.2
Auto9.5
Teleop37.2
End30.0
Second
80.92.0
73.675.6
Auto8.5
Teleop29.5
End42.9
red by 7.7
2556
#27
73.21.0
71.672.6
Auto6.4
Teleop32.9
End33.9
Third
4256
#20
63.52.0
56.258.2
Auto7.5
Teleop44.5
End11.5
blue by 1.3
64.71.1
63.164.2
Auto8.4
Teleop27.9
End28.4