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Red240
470747.7
153957.9
34388.3
Blue164
386147.1
605574.7
238666.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471920100300400240164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#19
88.33.9
57.561.4
Auto10.1
Teleop41.4
End36.9
red by 13.6
6055
#33
74.71.1
68.267.1
Auto11.9
Teleop28.7
End34.1
Second
1539
#35
57.93.6
45.849.4
Auto13.5
Teleop33.5
End10.9
blue by 8.4
2386
#44
66.30.8
61.260.4
Auto8.2
Teleop27.5
End30.5
Third
4707
#45
47.74.9
42.947.7
Auto5.9
Teleop22.8
End19.0
red by 0.6
3861
#38
47.11.4
46.845.4
Auto6.8
Teleop29.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed