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Red190
649154.3
639664.7
492463.5
Blue204
313960.1
584556.7
238666.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14614380100120160180200220190204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6396
#8Sur
64.70.8
44.345.0
Auto8.4
Teleop27.9
End28.4
blue by 1.5
2386
#44
66.34.2
60.464.6
Auto8.2
Teleop27.5
End30.5
Second
4924
#31
63.50.8
49.850.6
Auto6.6
Teleop36.0
End20.9
red by 3.4
3139
#22Sur
60.17.0
37.344.3
Auto7.5
Teleop26.1
End26.5
Third
6491
#26
54.30.8
38.939.7
Auto7.0
Teleop32.3
End15.0
blue by 2.4
5845
#40
56.77.0
43.550.4
Auto4.0
Teleop35.4
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed