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Red90
500562.3
649154.3
54760.8
Blue165
44251.2
470747.7
349080.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114161020030040050090165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5005
#30
62.32.7
40.838.1
Auto11.7
Teleop29.2
End21.4
blue by 18.0
80.31.4
62.964.3
Auto11.1
Teleop35.6
End33.6
Second
547
#43
60.82.7
33.931.1
Auto7.4
Teleop29.8
End23.6
red by 9.6
442
#39
51.22.1
43.545.5
Auto8.5
Teleop33.8
End8.9
Third
6491
#26
54.32.7
39.737.0
Auto7.0
Teleop32.3
End15.0
red by 6.6
4707
#45
47.72.1
39.942.0
Auto5.9
Teleop22.8
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed