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Red248
395982.6
447160.2
53865.6
Blue183
474030.3
584286.6
584556.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206192100150250300248183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#11
82.63.6
65.969.5
Auto8.2
Teleop27.8
End46.6
blue by 4.0
5842
#16
86.60.1
92.992.8
Auto14.3
Teleop39.3
End33.0
Second
538
#18
65.63.6
57.561.1
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End39.1
red by 8.9
5845
#40
56.70.2
50.450.3
Auto4.0
Teleop35.4
End17.3
Third
4471
#28
60.23.6
70.173.8
Auto1.9
Teleop22.5
End35.8
red by 30.0
4740
#50
30.30.2
41.140.9
Auto3.6
Teleop20.6
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed