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Red222
136979.9
395982.6
110865.7
Blue205
238666.3
54760.8
53865.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2171660100300400222205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#11
82.61.5
71.272.7
Auto8.2
Teleop27.8
End46.6
red by 16.3
2386
#44
66.32.4
63.465.8
Auto8.2
Teleop27.5
End30.5
Second
1369
#42
79.91.5
65.967.4
Auto9.4
Teleop35.5
End35.0
red by 14.2
538
#18
65.62.4
59.461.8
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End39.1
Third
1108
#21
65.71.5
62.063.6
Auto12.0
Teleop27.4
End26.3
red by 4.9
547
#43
60.84.0
41.545.5
Auto7.4
Teleop29.8
End23.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed