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Red145
34388.3
44251.2
313960.1
Blue279
572143.8
175874.4
179101.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1822070100300400145279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#19
88.32.1
76.274.2
Auto10.1
Teleop41.4
End36.9
blue by 13.3
179
#14
101.62.4
87.289.6
Auto11.6
Teleop49.1
End40.9
Second
3139
#22
60.13.4
50.647.2
Auto7.5
Teleop26.1
End26.5
blue by 14.3
1758
#13
74.42.4
69.471.8
Auto9.6
Teleop35.7
End29.1
Third
442
#39
51.23.4
49.145.6
Auto8.5
Teleop33.8
End8.9
red by 7.4
5721
#32
43.82.4
36.338.7
Auto6.4
Teleop22.6
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed