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Red154
584286.6
401343.3
447160.2
Blue165
505840.7
381492.2
44251.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228145050100200250300350400154165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5842
#16
86.63.8
91.487.7
Auto14.3
Teleop39.3
End33.0
blue by 5.6
92.20.7
77.177.8
Auto11.1
Teleop40.2
End40.9
Second
4471
#28
60.23.8
70.066.3
Auto1.9
Teleop22.5
End35.8
red by 9.0
442
#39
51.21.1
45.646.8
Auto8.5
Teleop33.8
End8.9
Third
4013
#46
43.33.8
43.940.2
Auto2.8
Teleop32.2
End8.3
red by 2.6
5058
#17
40.71.1
26.327.4
Auto7.9
Teleop25.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed