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Red315
639664.7
278389.6
180123.5
Blue203
584286.6
585863.0
386147.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2561660100200300400315203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#2
123.55.2
109.9115.1
Auto16.3
Teleop58.7
End48.5
red by 36.9
5842
#16
86.63.2
82.085.1
Auto14.3
Teleop39.3
End33.0
Second
2783
#12
89.63.6
81.184.7
Auto10.3
Teleop43.3
End35.9
red by 26.6
5858
#34
63.03.7
44.848.5
Auto8.7
Teleop25.3
End29.0
Third
64.719.3
65.245.9
Auto8.4
Teleop27.9
End28.4
red by 17.7
3861
#38
47.13.7
43.146.8
Auto6.8
Teleop29.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed