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Red314
395982.6
180123.5
179101.6
Blue305
496580.9
381492.2
425663.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3382230100300400500314305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#2
123.50.2
122.6122.8
Auto16.3
Teleop58.7
End48.5
red by 31.3
92.21.7
88.990.6
Auto11.1
Teleop40.2
End40.9
Second
179
#14
101.60.2
100.7100.9
Auto11.6
Teleop49.1
End40.9
red by 20.7
80.91.7
77.579.3
Auto8.5
Teleop29.5
End42.9
Third
3959
#11
82.60.2
81.781.9
Auto8.2
Teleop27.8
End46.6
red by 19.1
4256
#20
63.51.7
60.161.8
Auto7.5
Teleop44.5
End11.5