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Red310
395982.6
180123.5
179101.6
Blue305
496580.9
381492.2
425663.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3382290100200300400500310305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#2
123.50.5
122.8122.4
Auto16.3
Teleop58.7
End48.5
red by 31.3
92.21.6
90.692.2
Auto11.1
Teleop40.2
End40.9
Second
179
#14
101.60.5
100.9100.5
Auto11.6
Teleop49.1
End40.9
red by 20.7
80.91.6
79.380.9
Auto8.5
Teleop29.5
End42.9
Third
3959
#11
82.60.5
81.981.4
Auto8.2
Teleop27.8
End46.6
red by 19.1
4256
#20
63.51.6
61.863.5
Auto7.5
Teleop44.5
End11.5