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Red354
70105.3
245103.9
1025105.0
Blue245
5709100.2
1111105.3
558105.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3123510100200400500600354245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#21
105.33.5
97.9101.4
Auto14.0
Teleop55.5
End35.8
Level
558
#11
105.45.6
111.9106.3
Auto12.9
Teleop60.4
End32.1
Second
1025
#17
105.03.5
100.9104.4
Auto10.9
Teleop54.0
End40.1
blue by 0.3
1111
#20
105.35.6
110.9105.3
Auto11.7
Teleop53.8
End39.8
Third
245
#4
103.93.5
103.1106.5
Auto11.0
Teleop43.8
End49.2
red by 3.7
5709
#35
100.25.6
105.8100.2
Auto12.4
Teleop43.6
End44.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
58%Rotor oddsEarned77%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed