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Red275
379984.5
222110.3
1810105.7
Blue299
3623102.5
930108.7
40183.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3253030200400600800275299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#13
110.32.1
111.8109.7
Auto11.2
Teleop56.0
End43.0
red by 1.5
930
#36
108.70.5
108.5109.0
Auto10.8
Teleop45.6
End52.3
Second
1810
#28
105.72.1
107.8105.7
Auto8.7
Teleop48.7
End48.3
red by 3.2
3623
#38
102.50.5
102.0102.5
Auto8.7
Teleop49.6
End44.2
Third
3799
#40
84.52.1
86.684.5
Auto8.2
Teleop45.6
End30.7
red by 0.8
401
#50
83.70.5
80.681.1
Auto10.4
Teleop38.6
End34.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
35%Rotor oddsEarned5%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsEarned