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Red345
225123.1
4779100.8
346798.4
Blue253
188115.3
2337103.3
1730115.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328381100200300500600345253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#2
123.11.8
122.3124.1
Auto23.7
Teleop58.6
End40.8
red by 7.8
188
#16
115.36.8
124.7117.9
Auto14.4
Teleop52.1
End48.7
Second
4779
#19
100.81.8
99.1100.8
Auto11.5
Teleop52.4
End36.9
blue by 14.4
115.36.8
120.3113.5
Auto16.3
Teleop57.3
End41.7
Third
98.41.8
97.399.1
Auto10.2
Teleop47.4
End40.8
blue by 4.9
2337
#46
103.36.8
110.1103.3
Auto29.1
Teleop44.1
End30.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
50%Rotor oddsMissed34%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
46%Pressure oddsEarned44%Pressure oddsEarned