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Red315
6334107.3
1058123.6
524370.1
Blue231
2075109.3
304468.8
631755.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3232420100200400500600700315231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.61.2
121.5122.7
Auto13.6
Teleop63.3
End46.6
red by 14.3
2075
#30
109.32.3
111.6109.3
Auto13.3
Teleop54.5
End41.5
Second
6334
#42
107.31.2
106.2107.5
Auto9.4
Teleop47.5
End50.4
red by 38.5
3044
#31
68.82.3
71.168.8
Auto9.0
Teleop39.7
End20.1
Third
5243
#44
70.11.2
68.870.1
Auto9.5
Teleop35.8
End24.8
red by 14.5
6317
#61
55.62.3
57.955.6
Auto6.4
Teleop32.0
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
42%Rotor oddsEarned10%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed