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Red345
188115.3
645195.8
1987111.5
Blue265
930108.7
674678.3
309071.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3482240100300400500600700345265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#16
115.32.0
119.2121.2
Auto14.4
Teleop52.1
End48.7
red by 6.6
930
#36
108.72.1
98.6100.7
Auto10.8
Teleop45.6
End52.3
Second
1987
#29
111.52.0
105.1107.1
Auto11.8
Teleop53.3
End46.3
red by 33.2
6746
#58
78.32.1
56.959.0
Auto7.3
Teleop37.1
End34.0
Third
6451
#48
95.82.0
90.292.2
Auto8.2
Teleop39.5
End48.1
red by 24.3
3090
#65
71.52.1
73.675.7
Auto8.3
Teleop39.7
End23.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
13%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed