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Red293
930108.7
233897.2
6344117.2
Blue206
144105.8
2075109.3
9394.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312337100200400500293206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6344
#14
117.20.4
106.8106.3
Auto13.7
Teleop56.0
End47.5
red by 7.9
2075
#30
109.37.4
111.6104.2
Auto13.3
Teleop54.5
End41.5
Second
930
#36
108.70.4
100.7100.2
Auto10.8
Teleop45.6
End52.3
red by 2.9
144
#49
105.87.4
100.092.6
Auto15.1
Teleop44.0
End46.7
Third
2338
#59
97.20.4
92.191.6
Auto10.2
Teleop42.0
End45.0
red by 2.9
93
#47
94.37.4
105.698.2
Auto10.4
Teleop43.4
End40.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor oddsMissed8%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed