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Red349
245103.9
1325101.4
2834107.8
Blue414
6334107.3
225123.1
446493.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289323100200400500600349414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#15
107.84.7
102.2106.8
Auto12.2
Teleop51.7
End43.9
blue by 15.3
225
#2
123.15.8
122.2128.0
Auto23.7
Teleop58.6
End40.8
Second
245
#4
103.94.7
88.593.2
Auto11.0
Teleop43.8
End49.2
blue by 3.3
6334
#42
107.35.8
103.5109.3
Auto9.4
Teleop47.5
End50.4
Third
1325
#23
101.44.7
88.092.7
Auto13.4
Teleop49.8
End38.3
red by 7.5
4464
#43
93.95.8
76.482.2
Auto12.0
Teleop36.6
End45.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
21%Rotor oddsEarned5%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed20%Pressure oddsEarned