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Red299
3357110.2
379984.5
9394.3
Blue255
640165.8
645195.8
546472.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102250100400500600299255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#51
110.21.0
102.7103.8
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End38.5
red by 14.4
6451
#48
95.82.0
91.393.3
Auto8.2
Teleop39.5
End48.1
Second
93
#47
94.31.0
98.299.2
Auto10.4
Teleop43.4
End40.6
red by 21.7
5464
#64
72.72.0
71.973.9
Auto8.3
Teleop35.5
End28.9
Third
3799
#40
84.51.0
82.683.6
Auto8.2
Teleop45.6
End30.7
red by 18.8
6401
#63
65.82.0
61.763.7
Auto10.3
Teleop35.2
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed