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Red180
379984.5
222071.7
304468.8
Blue370
1325101.4
144105.8
1025105.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2033080100400500600700180370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3799
#40
84.51.8
83.681.8
Auto8.2
Teleop45.6
End30.7
blue by 21.3
144
#49
105.84.4
93.397.7
Auto15.1
Teleop44.0
End46.7
Second
2220
#53
71.71.8
60.658.8
Auto8.2
Teleop35.6
End27.8
blue by 33.3
1025
#17
105.04.4
92.797.2
Auto10.9
Teleop54.0
End40.1
Third
3044
#31
68.81.8
62.360.6
Auto9.0
Teleop39.7
End20.1
blue by 32.6
1325
#23
101.44.4
92.797.1
Auto13.4
Teleop49.8
End38.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed19%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed