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Red307
40183.7
546472.7
144105.8
Blue265
313878.8
1987111.5
631755.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255278150200300350400307265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#49
105.84.1
100.1104.2
Auto15.1
Teleop44.0
End46.7
blue by 5.7
1987
#29
111.51.8
115.0113.2
Auto11.8
Teleop53.3
End46.3
Second
401
#50
83.74.1
76.580.6
Auto10.4
Teleop38.6
End34.7
red by 4.9
3138
#60
78.81.8
86.885.0
Auto9.5
Teleop46.7
End22.6
Third
5464
#64
72.74.1
69.273.2
Auto8.3
Teleop35.5
End28.9
red by 17.1
6317
#61
55.61.8
59.958.1
Auto6.4
Teleop32.0
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed7%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed