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Red360
1075103.2
930108.7
346798.4
Blue283
6334107.3
379395.7
317694.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312314250300350400360283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#36
108.73.8
104.7108.5
Auto10.8
Teleop45.6
End52.3
red by 1.4
6334
#42
107.30.9
107.2106.2
Auto9.4
Teleop47.5
End50.4
Second
1075
#24
103.23.8
99.6103.4
Auto13.7
Teleop46.5
End43.0
red by 7.4
3793
#55
95.70.9
96.095.1
Auto4.3
Teleop46.5
End45.0
Third
98.43.8
93.597.3
Auto10.2
Teleop47.4
End40.8
red by 3.8
3176
#52
94.60.9
93.692.7
Auto13.0
Teleop44.9
End36.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
16%Rotor oddsMissed27%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed