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Red507
865107.7
225123.1
558105.4
Blue468
2590114.8
3357110.2
1730115.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435428250300350400500550600507468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#2
123.11.0
125.7126.7
Auto23.7
Teleop58.6
End40.8
red by 7.9
115.30.7
114.6115.2
Auto16.3
Teleop57.3
End41.7
Second
865
#56
107.71.0
110.4111.3
Auto12.1
Teleop46.2
End49.5
blue by 7.1
2590
#12
114.80.7
114.1114.8
Auto13.8
Teleop61.7
End39.4
Third
558
#11
105.41.0
108.0108.9
Auto12.9
Teleop60.4
End32.1
blue by 4.8
3357
#51
110.20.7
109.5110.1
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End38.5